Why you need this report

About the Atlas Pulse report

 Charlie Morris, editor of Atlas Pulse

Charlie Morris Atlas Pulse

Atlas Pulse is a newsletter focusing on precious metals, digital assets, start ups, financial markets and other matters. In other roles, he is an entrepreneur and an advisor. Prior to April 2015, he spent 17 years at HSBC Global Asset Management as the Head of Absolute Return managing a multi-asset fund range. His specialist fields are gold, equity momentum and crypto currencies. He is a familiar face in the financial media with over 200 appearances on financial TV channels. In 2012, he addressed the London Bullion Metals Association at their annual conference in Hong Kong with three core models to determine the state of the gold market; a concept, which led to the creation of Atlas Pulse. Prior to a career in fund management, Charlie was an officer in the Grenadier Guards.

Extracts

September 2014: Silver Smash

It is silver that is likely to take the severe pain. The speculative interest from a range of actors is nearly twice the level it ‘ought’ to be at tis stage of the game. In a new bull market, you would normally expect gold shares to rally the most and silver to catch up at a later stage. Current positioning is way out of line.

The final storm could be upon us.

(on the miners)

The speculators are off target. Both the juniors and the majors are dirt cheap, but there is no need to take additional risk when the potential upside is similar. As they say in McDonald’s, go large. Gold mining shares are cheap… but if gold falls to $1,000, they will follow.

Bitcoin has been falling on low volatility which is a first in its history… and it turned negative as the 34 and 46 day simple moving averages are now pointing south… $450 is the key support level and a break below that would be no fun at all.

Download past reports

Atlas Pulse Gold, Silver and Bitcoin Report

Below are a selection of past reports for you to sample, free to download.

Report PDF icon August 2015 Download Atlas Pulse Report Icon

Report PDF icon May 2015 Download Atlas Pulse Report Icon

Report PDF icon February 2015 Download Atlas Pulse Report Icon

Report PDF icon January 2015 Download Atlas Pulse Report Icon

Report PDF icon December 2014 Download Atlas Pulse Report Icon

Report PDF icon November 2014 Download Atlas Pulse Report Icon

 

Features

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Price Trends

We measure long-term price trends, to identify not just future direction, but also risk. We do this in different currencies and use a range of techniques. Price changes hold many secrets. Correlation to other assets and volatility changes are two examples.
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Real interest rates

A key driver of the gold price is the level of interest rates in relation to the prevailing rate of inflation. Changes in real rates around the world are vital for forecasting the gold price. High real rates are a huge head wind for the gold price.
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Measuring Value

Price is what you pay, value is what you get. If you over pay, don't expect to make any money. However with value on your side all you need is patience and riches will come. Atlas Pulse has proprietary valuation techniques for gold, silver, miners and bitcoin.
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Sentiment

When the crowd is excited, it is time to sell. Similarly, when there is panic, it may be time to buy. We measure sentiment and flows using different techniques, including web stats, investor surveys, option pricing and fund flows.

Reviews

The Atlas Pulse Report is essential reading for anyone serious about keeping abreast of the more important developments in the precious metals and Bitcoin markets. Whether a saver or speculator, or some of both, the Report provides you with real, actionable insights. And it does so in plain language the relative newcomer to precious metals can understand.”

johnbutler

Trading is not easy. Anyone who does so, should consider The Atlas Pulse Report. Some of the short-term indicators work beautifully, particular those that detect excess sentiment, be it bullish or bearish. These guys clearly like gold, silver and Bitcoin, but they’re savvy enough not to let that appreciation get in the way of their trading recommendations. Good stuff.”

dominic-frisby

There are many precious metal reports around, but the really valuable ones are much harder to come by. The Atlas Pulse Report is simply one the best there is and always contains data and a perspective that you just don’t find anywhere else. And now it also covers Bitcoin. The report predicted the April gold price decline. A must read for every serious gold, silver, mining and Bitcoin investor.”

Thomas-Paterson

Atlas Pulse is today’s authority on precious metals and Bitcoin.  As well as combining analytical rigour with numerous fresh perspectives on this oldest store of value, the writer’s nose for the market is impeccable.  It would be a rash investor indeed who traded the yellow metal without a well-thumbed copy of the Atlas Pulse Report in his back pocket.”

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Benefits

The role of precious metals in today’s financial system is less formal than in the past. However, many central banks have grasped the lessons from history and still hold a significant portion of their reserves in gold, even when there is no longer a requirement to do so.

The central banks know that gold has proven to be a powerful backstop during periods of high inflation, war or default. It could be said that holding gold is an effective plan B.

But the myths surrounding gold are plentiful. High inflation, war or default may not necessarily lead to a higher gold price. For example, if inflation is rising in Argentina, that won’t necessarily impact the gold price in other countries. Furthermore, commentators often attribute a rise in the gold price to a recent negative event, regardless of whether there is a genuine link or not.

At Atlas Pulse we believe that the price of gold behaves rationally and tells us a great deal about the prevailing economic climate. Pessimists own too much and optimists, too little, so there is an opportunity to find the right balance. According to our research, factors that impact the gold price include exchange rates, inflation, interest rates, commodity prices, house prices, growth, credit, levels of speculation, share prices, mine supply, physical demand and sentiment. In fact, the price of gold is linked to anything and everything.

As an individual, you don’t need to own much if your concern is the doomsday scenario; just a modest slice of your liquid assets. In fact you shouldn’t, because unlike financial assets such as equities and bonds, gold doesn’t pay an income.

Instead, gold is an effective diversifier, precisely because its behavior is very different from financial assets, particularly when inflation or real interest rates change. Atlas Pulse believes that gold behaves like an irredeemable, zero coupon, inflation-linked bond with zero credit risk.

Let’s break that down. Irredeemable means it lasts forever. Zero coupon means it pays no interest. Inflation-linked means it matches inflation over the long-term. Zero credit risk means it cannot default.

Atlas Pulse show their gold thermometer each month that clearly states the condition of the gold market whether it be, strong bull, bull, neutral or bear. In addition there is a triangle that states our preference for similar assets such as silver and the miners.

These are interesting because whilst they tend to carry higher levels of risk, sometimes that risk can work in your favour. Typically we would expect the miners to perform well in the early stages of a bull market and silver to do better later on.

Of course, many factors need to be looked at, but that is precisely what Atlas Pulse does. By making strategic changes in accordance with the relative value on offer, returns from your investments in precious metals can be significantly increased.

In late 2013, we initiated coverage on Bitcoin. It isn’t gold, nor is it silver, but it is a major innovation within financial technology. Its creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, designed the Bitcoin protocol around the ‘idea’ of gold. Bitcoins are limited in supply and therefore scarce, they are ‘mined’ by computers and behave more like commodities than money. This has led to the birth of a new asset class that we describe as cryptos.

The potential for this space is huge and it’s all to play for. From late 2010 to December 2013, the price of Bitcoin rose by 17,000 times. Admittedly, the starting point was low, but assuming the Bitcoin network continues to grow, you could argue that it still is.

If the value of all of the Bitcoins is approximately equal to the total amount spent in a year (subscribe to learn more), then you soon realise that the potential is mind blowing. Visa and Mastercard have combined annual transaction volumes that are counted in the trillions.

There’s no guarantee the winner will be Bitcoin and there are already over 500 competitors. Atlas Pulse carries out analysis on the leading cryptos with the aim of identifying the potential winners. The approach is to study value, supply, growth, volatility, trend, fees, sentiment and other network factors.

Stay informed on gold, silver, miners and cryptos. You can read all the news in the world, but at the end of the day, it’s just noise. With insightful analysis, you can stop and think about the real factors that drive prices. That will help you to make fewer and better decisions.

Join us on this exciting journey. .

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